The Aperlena Verdict
Open raceNo supplier dominates: 6 different companies have won the last 7 comparable contracts from this buyer over 5 years. This is a genuinely open race.
- Expected final price vs the published estimate
- 0%
Based on 7 comparable awards by this buyer in this sector over 5 years. Every verdict is recorded before the outcome and graded against the award notice. How we score ourselves.
Summary
Machine-generated summaryPre-qualification for a Public Service Contract covering public bus services on Dublin Commuter (DCOM) routes in Ireland. The operator must provide depot facilities, staff facilities and other facilities needed to run the services, safely store, operate and maintain the fleet provided, and operate reliable and punctual passenger services meeting service specifications and contractual performance standards. Other obligations include customer care services, collecting, ticketing and reconciling passenger fares, revenue protection activities, and supplying operational data for the Authority's passenger information, journey planning and performance monitoring systems. The contract is expected to run for seven years with a maximum contract value of EUR 157,000,000.
Description
Official source
Source: TED - Tenders Electronic Daily (Publications Office of the EU)
Always verify details on the official notice.
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Last verified against TED - Tenders Electronic Daily (Publications Office of the EU) 2 days ago
What this buyer has paid before
Based on 6 comparable contracts this buyer awarded in this sector over the last 4 years.
- This notice
- €143.0M
- Median award
- €16.1M
- Middle half of past awards
- €12.2M to €22.9M
The estimate is larger than three in four past awards.
Most recent awards
- Road transport services - Award of Public Bus Services Contract to Bus Eireann €745,172
- Transport services (excl. Waste transport) - Provision of a Public Service Obligation Contract for public bus services in Limerick City, Route 310 €10,969,940
- Road transport services - Invitation to Negotiate for Public Service Contracts for the provision of Public Bus Services - Outer Dublin Metropolitan Areas (ODMA) North and South €743,000,000
- Transport services (excl. Waste transport) - INVITATION TO NEGOTIATE FOR A PUBLIC SERVICE CONTRACT FOR THE PROVISION OF PUBLIC BUS SERVICES IN ENNIS €16,456,704
- Transport services (excl. Waste transport) - INVITATION TO NEGOTIATE FOR A PUBLIC SERVICE CONTRACT FOR THE PROVISION OF PUBLIC BUS SERVICES IN MULLINGAR €15,784,092
Award values as published by the official sources. Use them as a guide, not a rule: scope, lots and duration differ between contracts.
The buyer
Full buyer profileNational Transport Authority_1149
- notices in the register
- 98
- awards
- 37
- awarded in total
- €892.4M
Who wins its contracts
Many suppliers- different companies won its awards
- 30
- of the awards went to the three most frequent winners
- 18%
- of its calls state an estimated value
- 97%
Based on 33 awards with a named winner over the last 3 years. Counted by award, not by value, because lot and framework amounts are not comparable. Concentrated means the three most frequent winners took 65% or more of the awards; many suppliers, under 35% with at least ten different winners.
Competition
- tenders per lot on average (open and restricted procedures)
- 5.3
- of those lots received a single tender
- 25%
- of the awards went to companies based in another country
- 4%
As the official award notices state them, over the last 3 years. Tenders per lot count open and restricted procedures only: in a negotiated procedure or a direct award a single tender is the procedure itself. The country is the one the notice gives for the winner.
One dot per award, on the day it was signed, sized by its value. A ring is an award with no published value.
Who usually wins this buyer's contracts in this sector
| Company | Wins | Total awarded | Last win |
|---|---|---|---|
| City Direct Bus Limited | 2 | €41.5M | Jun 2026 |
| Go Ahead Transport Services (Dublin) Ltd | 1 | €743.0M | Oct 2024 |
| Bernard Kavanagh and Sons Ltd. | 1 | €15.8M | Oct 2025 |
| Bus Eireann_112891 | 1 | €11.0M | Jul 2025 |
| Bus Eireann | 1 | €745,172 | May 2026 |
Based on 7 awards with a linked company profile over the last 5 years.
19 open tenders right now
- Research consultancy services - Provision of SPSV Driver Entry Test Review 9 days left
- IT services: consulting, software development, Internet and support - Support and Maintenance of NTA Dedicated Standalone ServiceNow Instances 29 days left
- Motor vehicles for the transport of 10 or more persons - Competition for Appointment to a Framework for the Supply of Double-Deck Buses No deadline published
Market context
Larger than 90% of the open notices in Transport services across Europe.
- open now in Transport services
- 1,822
- median open notice
- €524,981
Who wins in this market
Many suppliersIreland · Transport services
- different companies won awards here
- 81
- of the awards went to the three most frequent winners
- 10%
- winners of the last 12 months were new here
- 53 of 57
- buyers awarded contracts here
- 42
Based on 103 awards with a named winner over the last 3 years. Counted by award, not by value, because lot and framework amounts are not comparable. Concentrated means the three most frequent winners took 65% or more of the awards; many suppliers, under 35% with at least ten different winners. New: no award from the same buyer or market in the two years before.
Competition
- tenders per lot on average (open and restricted procedures)
- 2.8
- of those lots received a single tender
- 17%
- of the awards went to companies based in another country
- 1%
As the official award notices state them, over the last 3 years. Tenders per lot count open and restricted procedures only: in a negotiated procedure or a direct award a single tender is the procedure itself. The country is the one the notice gives for the winner.
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